Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.240858 0.278136 0.319069 0.367326 0.422637 0.484030 0.557324
2024-10-27 0.180208 0.228018 0.285249 0.358703 0.450384 0.560955 0.704367
2024-11-03 0.146776 0.201882 0.273233 0.372138 0.505447 0.678652 0.920566
2024-11-10 0.122069 0.181415 0.264043 0.387005 0.564836 0.812138 1.181613
2024-11-17 0.099059 0.158300 0.246572 0.386907 0.603569 0.924384 1.434344
2024-11-24 0.081060 0.138643 0.230057 0.384604 0.638102 1.035847 1.705216
2024-12-01 0.067451 0.122952 0.216433 0.383798 0.674193 1.154910 2.007638
2024-12-08 0.057167 0.110628 0.205809 0.385592 0.714294 1.286157 2.351205
2024-12-15 0.049961 0.102260 0.200329 0.395054 0.768826 1.449761 2.776376
2024-12-22 0.042685 0.092196 0.189763 0.392954 0.801464 1.578949 3.159675
2024-12-29 0.037915 0.086136 0.185684 0.402449 0.857470 1.759382 3.667069
2025-01-05 0.032582 0.077754 0.175317 0.397145 0.882640 1.883418 4.082389
2025-01-12 0.028949 0.072498 0.170810 0.403975 0.935451 2.073517 4.668192
2025-01-19 0.024608 0.064666 0.159169 0.392903 0.947570 2.180847 5.096923
2025-01-26 0.022460 0.061730 0.158250 0.406450 1.017834 2.425309 5.866996
2025-02-02 0.020661 0.059303 0.158100 0.421852 1.095217 2.697837 6.744597
2025-02-09 0.018292 0.054825 0.151983 0.421210 1.133423 2.885331 7.451857
2025-02-16 0.016156 0.050519 0.145481 0.418349 1.165546 3.063204 8.164079
2025-02-23 0.014382 0.046858 0.140008 0.417230 1.202069 3.257642 8.948784
2025-03-02 0.012941 0.043874 0.135849 0.419011 1.246809 3.480016 9.840960
2025-03-09 0.011934 0.042033 0.134652 0.429153 1.316777 3.779589 10.985774
2025-03-16 0.010682 0.039091 0.129583 0.426799 1.350414 3.986073 11.907953
2025-03-23 0.009902 0.037576 0.128646 0.437034 1.423319 4.313001 13.219883